Thursday, February 24, 2011
WERE THEY CORRECT?
Below is an analysis of the Chicago Aldermanic races by comparing the endorsements bestowed to who actually won. The first line is who the Sun-Times picked, the second line is the Tribune and the last line is the winner or the run-off names. I just thought it would be fun to see which of the two newspapers backed the correct horses. I have not seen this done by anyone else, so I wanted to do something different.
For scoring purposes, I am giving give two points for each correct winning pick and one point if the newspapers’ choice made it to a run-off. The totals and the winning newspaper will be listed at the end of the blog. I did not put in the ward races that were uncontested because there were no endorsements in those wards. It took me forever to type all this information in, so I hope you all appreciate my hard work!
1st Ward
Proco”Joe” Moreno
Proco “Joe” Moreno
Proco “Joe” Moreno
2nd Ward
Genita Robinson
Genita Robinson
Bob Fioretti
3rd Ward
Pat Dowell
Pat Dowell
Pat Dowell
4th Ward
Will Burns
Will Burns
Will Burns
5th Ward
Leslie Hairston
Leslie Hairston
Leslie Hairston
6th Ward
Freddrenna Lyle
Cassandra Goodrum-Burton
RUN- OFF- Lyle and Sawyer
7th Ward
Sandi Jackson
Sandi Jackson
Sandi Jackson
8th Ward
Michelle Harris
Faheem Shabazz
Michelle Harris
9th Ward
Anthony Beale
Anthony Beale
Anthony Beale
10th Ward
Richard Martinez
John Pope
John Pope
11th Ward
James Balcer
James Balcer
James Balcer
12th Ward
Jesus Iniguez
Jesus Iniguez
George Cardenas
15th Ward
Toni Foulkas
Felicia Simmons-Stovall
RUN-OFF- Foulkas and Lopez
16th Ward
JoAnn Thompson
JoAnn Thompson
RUN-OFF- Baskin and Thompson
17th Ward
Latasha Thomas
Latasha Thomas
RUN-OFF- Thomas and Moore
18th Ward
Chuks Onyezia
Chuks Onyezia
Lola Lane
19th Ward
Matthew O’Shea
Anne Schiable
Matthew O’Shea
20th Ward
George Davis
George Davis
RUN-OFF- Cochran and Smith
21st Ward
Howard Brookins, Jr.
Howard Brookins, Jr.
Howard Brookins, Jr.
22nd Ward
Ricardo Munoz
Ricardo Munoz
Ricardo Munoz
23rd Ward
Michael Zalewski
Michael Zalewski
Michael Zalewski
24h Ward ( There were 18 people running in this ward!)
Melissa Williams
Valerie Leonard
RUN-OFF-Dixon and Chandler
25th Ward
Danny Solis
Danny Solis
RUN-OFF- Solis-Morfin
26th Ward
Roberto Maldonado
Roberto Maldonado
Roberto Maldonado
27th Ward
Walter Burnett, Jr.
Walter Burnett, Jr.
Walter Burnett, Jr.
28th Ward
Jason Ervin
Jason Ervin
Jason Ervin
29th Ward
Deborah Graham
Deborah Graham
Deborah Graham
30th Ward
Ariel Reboyras
Ariel Reboyras
Ariel Reboyras
32nd Ward
Scott Waguespack
Scott Waguespack
Scott Waguespack
34th Ward
Carrie Austin
Carrie Austin
Carrie Austin
35th Ward
Rey Colon
Rey Colon
Rey Colon
36th Ward
John Rice
Nicholas Sposato
RUN-OFF- Rice and Sposato
37th Ward
Emma Mitts
Emma Mitts
Emma Mitts
38th Ward
Tom Caravette
Tom Cullerton
RUN-OFF- Caravette and Cullerton
39th Ward
Margaret Laurino
Margaret Laurino
Margaret Laurino
41st Ward
Mary O’Connor
Thomas Patrick Murphey
RUN-OFF- O’Connor and Gavin
43rd Ward
Michelle Smith
Tim Egan
RUN-OFF- Smith and Egan
45th Ward
John Arena
John Arena
RUN-OFF- Garrido and Arena
46th Ward
Emily Stewart
Emily Stewart
RUN-OFF- Phelan and Cappleman
47th Ward
Ameya Pawar
Ameya Pawar
Ameya Pawar
48th Ward
Harry Osterman
Harry Osterman
Harry Osterman
49th Ward
Joe Moore
Joe Moore
Joe Moore
50th Ward
Debra Silverstein
Greg Brewer
RUN-OFF- Silverstein and Bernie Stone
According to the "Kathy Scale," the Sun-Times garnered 62 points, while the Tribune received 55 points. But those scores will change after the run-off election in April. In the 2nd, 12th,18th, 20th, 24th and 46th wards, neither newspaper endorsed a candidate who either won or is in a run-off. In wards 36, 38 and 43, the two candidates facing in the run-off were each endorsed by a different newspaper.
I did all this work, so you didn't have to! My gift to the voters of Chicago.
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Kathy this is a great analysis. I always wonder after these elections which paper endorsement made impact, especially when endorsing the newcomers. Now I know! Thanks for your research!
ReplyDeleteBruce D. writes:
ReplyDelete"Your aldermanic score card assessment was well done."
I loved that score card. We both must be a little weird, LOL.
ReplyDeleteLinda F writes:
ReplyDelete"The chart about the election results was also interesting - showing which paper so far had a better finger on the pulse of the population (that voted).
Thanks for keeping us really informed."